In 2025, with the Republican House majority shrinking, Donald Trump had an concept. What if Republicans in crimson states created more House seats for themselves by gerrymandering Democrats out of their districts in crimson states?
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Because Trump knows nothing about historical past, he gave himself credit for coming up with an election hack to save the Republican House majority. After all, it labored in 2022, when Gov. Ron DeSantis further gerrymandered the map in Florida and created 4 new Republican seats, which, not coincidentally, match the Republican margin in the present Congress.
It didn’t matter to Trump that redistricting consultants warned that mid-decade gerrymanders might not ship the dozens of seats he hoped for, or, at worst, could backfire and value Republicans seats by weakening the celebration’s benefit in other districts.
The Democratic voters who get moved out of their districts don’t disappear. They vote in new districts, weakening the Republican benefit elsewhere.
There were indicators nearly immediately that the Texas gerrymander would backfire and, unlike California’s response, would not internet Republicans the 5 seats that Trump promised.
Florida was already over-gerrymandered and risking a dummymander that could truly value Republicans House seats in the state.
With a week and a half before the midterm election, there are indicators that the Texas and Florida gerrymanders have badly backfired.
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